Forex Trading Examples

Example 1

The investor follows the cross rate between the Euro and the Japanese yen. He believes that this market is headed for a fall. As he is less confident of this trade, he does not fully use the leverage available on his deposit. He chooses to ask the dealer for a quote in EUR1,000,000. This requires a margin of EUR1,000,000 x 5% = EUR50,000 = approx. USD52,500 (EUR/USD1.05).

 

The dealer quotes 112.05-10. The investor sells EUR at 112.05.

 

Day 1: Sell EUR1,000,000 vs JPY 112.05 = Buy JPY112,050,000.

 

He protects his position with a stop-loss order to buy back the euro at 112.60. Two days later, this stop is triggered as the euro strengthens short term in spite of the investor’s expectations.

 

Day 3: Buy EUR1,000,000 vs JPY 112.60 = Sell JPY112,600,000.

 

The EUR side involves a credit and a debit of EUR1,000,000. Therefore, the EUR account shows no change. The JPY account is credited JPY112.05m and debited JPY112.6m for a loss of JPY0.55m. Due to the simplicity of the example and the short time horizon of the trade, we have disregarded the interest rate swap that would marginally alter the loss calculation.

This results in a loss of JPY0.55m = approx.USD5,300 (USD/JPY 105) = 5.3% loss on the original deposit of USD100,000.

 

Example 2

An investor has a margin deposit with Global Trading of USD100,000.

 

The investor expects the US dollar to rise against the Swiss franc and therefore decides to buy USD2,000,000 - his maximum possible exposure.

 

Global Trade Station quotes 1.5515-20. The investor buys USD at 1.5520.

 

Day 1: Buy USD2,000,000 vs CHF 1.5520 = Sell CHF3,104,000.

 

Four days later, the dollar has actually risen to CHF1.5745 and the investor decides to take his profit.

 

Upon his request, Global Trade Station quotes 1.5745-50. The investor sells at 1.5745.

 

Day 5: Sell USD2,000,000 vs CHF 1.5745 = Buy CHF3,149,000.

 

As the dollar side of the transaction involves a credit and a debit of USD2,000,000, the investor’s USD account will show no change. The CHF account will show a debit of CHF3,104,000 and a credit of CHF3,149,000. Due to the simplicity of the example and the short time horizon of the trade, we have disregarded the interest rate swap that would marginally alter the profit calculation.

 

This results in a profit of CHF45,000 = approx. USD28,600 = 28.6% profit on the deposit of USD100,000.

 

Example 3

The investor believes the Canadian dollar will strengthen against the US dollar. It is a long term view, so he takes a small position to allow for wider swings in the rate:

 

He asks for a quote on USD1,000,000 against the Canadian dollar and Global Trade Station quotes 1.5390-95 and the investors sells USD at 1.5390. Selling USD is the equivalent of buying the Canadian dollar.

 

Day 1: Sell USD 1,000,000 vs CAD 1.5390. He swaps the position out for two months receiving a forward rate of CAD1.5357 = Buy CAD1,535,700 for Day 61 due to the interest rate differential.

 

After a month, the desired move has occurred. The investor buys back the US dollars at 1.4880. He has to swap the position forward for a month to match the original sale. The forward rate is agreed at 1.4865.

 

Day 31: Buy USD1,000,000 vs CAD 1.4865 = Sell CAD1,486,500 for Day 61.

 

Day 61: The two trades are settled and the trades go off the books. The profit secured on Day 31 can be used for margin purposes before Day 61.

 

The USD account receives a credit and debit of USD1,000,000 and shows no change on the account. The CAD account is credited CAD 1,535,700 and debited CAD 1,486,500 for a profit of CAD49,200 = approx. USD33,100 = profit of 33.1% on the original deposit of USD100,000.

Title: Forex Trading Examples
Description: Forex Trading Examples - Learn How the Forex Market Works
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Added: 22 December 2009
Added by: hatem1971

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A Beginner’s Guide to FOREX
FOREX is the abbreviation for the Foreign Exchange market. FOREX is basically an international exchange market where currencies from all over the world are bought and sold for profit.

Forex Market Participants
The interbank market caters for both the majority of commercial turnover as well as enormous amounts of speculative trading every day. It is not uncommon for a large bank to trade billions of dollars on a daily basis.

Margin Trading in Forex - Leverage
In contrast with other financial markets where you require to deposit the full amount of money traded, in the forex trading market you require only a margin deposit

Forex Trading Exposures
Foreign exchange is essentially about exchanging one currency for another. The complexity arises from three factors. Firstly what is the foreign exchange exposure, secondly what will be the rate of exchange, and thirdly when does the actual exchange occur

Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis deals with the factual influences on the market and the trader will aim to predict economic developments and the impact on the direction of foreign exchange rates.